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Three more changes to our pick list
 We suggest 3 more changes to our pick list based on our expectation of a recession:
* We sell Apple. We take our profits as retailers could suffer in a recession scenario
* We sell Arques as weakening economic indicators are expected to have a downside impact on financial markets. This will result in a much higher hurdle for Arques to execute exits out of its portfolio
* We buy a short warrant on Caterpillar: DB33C0. We expect the company to suffer both from a recession and specifically the downturn in the housing sector.
 Date:
17-08-07

Buy short ETF on industrials: SIJ
 We buy a short on SIJ. This is a SHORT ETF on industrials that has a 200% leverage on the industrial sector. We expect the industrials to suffer significantly in the expected recession.
 Date:
16-08-07

Sell Atos
 We sell our holding in Atos. The expected acquisition did not happen. Also, we clean up our long holdings based on our bearish Pearl Fisher market model
 Date:
13-08-07

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